Ah, the magic of analyst ratings! After a tough month in April, cannabis firm Hexo (NYSEAmerican:HEXO) suddenly reversed course after Bank of America analyst Christopher Carey initiated coverage. Sizing up the risk and reward profile, Carey assigned a âbuyâ rating on Hexo stock with a $10 price target.
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The news couldnât have come at a better time. While cannabis stocks offer tremendous upside because they essentially materialize an industry that previously never existed, theyâre also incredibly volatile. Because this is an unprecedented sector, many investors are unsure how to approach a company like HEXO.
As such, I mentioned earlier that I liked Hexo stock, even compared to relative heavyweight Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB). Unfortunately, the aforementioned volatility in cannabis stocks disproportionately impacted HEXO, sending my recommendation toward a quick grave. But thanks to Carey, this bad boy gained nearly 12% on Wednesday.
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Of course, by the time that youâre reading this, this dramatic burst in Hexo stock is in the past. Do newcomers still have a chance in riding this promising, but wild bull?
The best way I can characterize Hexo stock is as a diamond in the rough. I believe the organization has the right components in place to make a solid run. However, the credibility issues that stymie virtually all cannabis stocks will pressure HEXO. At the end of the day, it comes down to your risk tolerance.
But if youâre willing to take that leap, Carey argues that this weed play deserves your attention. Primarily, HEXO stock is undervalued relative to its peers. Of course, in the marijuana sector, âundervaluedâ is an extremely relative term. That said, many cannabis stocks have hit nosebleed levels. Therefore, HEXO at least on paper provides some assurance of future room for growth.
Next, the BofA analyst mentioned that Hexo stock is levered toward a âde-riskedâ Canadian cannabis market. Although I wouldnât use that term specifically, I see his point. Our northern neighbors paved the way for other western and developed nations to adopt tolerant policies. While this broader dynamic is building out, management has time to hone its craft.
Finally, Carey mentioned âvalue-add partnershipsâ that go beyond the scope of Hexoâs existent relationship with Molson Coors Brewing (NYSE:TAP). I agree. Cannabis stocks can branch out into subsegments of the broader categories of recreational and medicinal usage. However, letâs not gloss over the Molson partnership as it holds a significant key for growth.
Naturally, the idea here is for Hexo and Molson to developed cannabidiol (CBD)-infused drinks. Now, CBD itself is a tailwind for the industry as it offers non-psychoactive exposure to the cannabis plant. In other words, itâs a lot easier to introduce people to weed through a drink rather than a joint.
Indeed, Hexoâs Molson partnership has advantages over an expected synergy like Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) and Altria Group (NYSE:MO). I donât think I can ever get my parents to smoke marijuana. But to drink it in a form that wonât get them stoned? Thatâs infinitely more palatable and more socially acceptable.
Invariably, that had to enter BofAâs thinking process when deciding to go bullish on Hexo stock. But just the fact that the big bank is even considering cannabis stocks is a major sign. It gives the industry significant credibility, and it suggests a very viable environment in the future.
While we here in the U.S. have also warmed to varying degrees of legalization, most banks wonât finance cannabis-related businesses. Why? Because it comes down to that nasty roadblock called Schedule I. Despite individual state laws, cannabis falls under strict federal guidelines.
Sure, weâve made progress in this department, too. For instance, the 2018 farm bill won consensus at a time when bipartisanship no longer exists. And major conservative figures have more or less voiced support for full legalization.
Nevertheless, that Schedule I classification remains on the books for marijuana. Unless the federal government officially extinguishes it, most banks wonât touch cannabis stocks.
And while BofA isnât necessarily diving into the sector with open arms, itâs essentially giving you the green light to do so. Look, Hexo stock is a risky play no matter how you cut it. But if youâve got the nerve, Iâd read between the lines.
As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.
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