How Does Investing In The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) Impact The Volatility Of Your Portfolio?

Simply Wall St - finance.yahoo.com Posted 5 years ago
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If you own shares in The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

Check out our latest analysis for Scotts Miracle-Gro

What does SMG's beta value mean to investors?

Zooming in on Scotts Miracle-Gro, we see it has a five year beta of 0.89. This is below 1, so historically its share price has been rather independent from the market. If history is a good guide, owning the stock should help ensure that your portfolio is not overly sensitive to market volatility. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Scotts Miracle-Gro's revenue and earnings in the image below.

NYSE:SMG Income Statement, April 14th 2019
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How does SMG's size impact its beta?

With a market capitalisation of US$4.5b, Scotts Miracle-Gro is a pretty big company, even by global standards. It is quite likely well known to very many investors. It is a little unusual to see big companies like this trade on low beta values. Oftentimes there is some other clear influence on the share price, overshadowing market volatility.

What this means for you:

One potential advantage of owning low beta stocks like Scotts Miracle-Gro is that your overall portfolio won't be too sensitive to overall market movements. However, this can be a blessing or a curse, depending on what's happening in the broader market. In order to fully understand whether SMG is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Scotts Miracle-Gro’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for SMG’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for SMG’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has SMG been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of SMG's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how SMG measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at [email protected]. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.