Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) stock has continued to slide in recent weeks. I warned previously that technical resistance threatened to sink CGC stock, and thatâs what has has happened. However, not all that much has changed since I laid out the pros and cons for CGC stock in that article.
Source: Shutterstock
Earnings are coming up in two weeks for Canopy, and that should be the decisive factor which determines whether CGC stock heads back to the $50s or keeps slumping. In the meantime, however, Canopy is drawing some headlines for the wrong sorts of reasons.
Canadian newspaper National Post ran an investigative report about a gigantic marijuana bust in 2014. The Post obtained more than 900 pages of documents. These papers showed that the Royal Mounted Canadian Police âRMCPâ planned to issue a press release about a massive pot bust.
InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips
Instead, the RMCP covered up the incident, in part because it didnât want to hurt Canopyâs (then called Tweed) stock price. The Post reported that:
âAmong the âstrategic considerationsâ outlined in emails was a concern that the release of information might affect the stock price of Tweed, which had gone public on the Toronto Stock Exchange that week â the first pot producer in the country to do so. There were also concerns that the release of information could embarrass Health Canada and expose âdeficienciesâ in new regulations over medical marijuana production that were rolling out that same week.â
Garry Clement, who is a retired RMCP officer, said it was regrettable decision:
âWhen you see something like that, how can you say the RCMP is being objective? Theyâre playing in the hands of the company. Investors may have made a decision differently had they known the facts, he said. âIt doesnât give the impression of being upfront.'â
Inspector John Ibbotson suggested that Tweedâs actions represented a violation of Canadaâs criminal code. Specifically, that the company had issued a false prospectus and that the Ontario Securities Commission should investigate. However, it appears that Ibbotson was overruled out of concerns for the CGC stock price and how it would make regulators look.
The heart of the issue came down to the form of marijuana shipped. At the time, Canopy aka Tweed had permission to ship marijuana plants by air. Instead, according to the Post report, the company shipped 1,500 pounds of marijuana clippings, which was not permitted by legislation at the time. In a charmingly Canadian touch, they shipped the marijuana buds in hockey bags.
The police found about the unapproved shipments because several airlines called the RMCP to ask about the âlegitimacy of transporting 1500 lbs of marijuana.â CEO Bruce Linton suggested that the mix-up occurred due to âconfusionâ over a change in regulatory requirements for marijuana producers. Additionally, a spokesperson stated that: âThe company believed then and now that it acted in compliance with regulations.â
While Canopyâs past run-in with the police hopefully wonât happen again anytime soon, itâs a reminder of how marijuana remains a frontier emerging industry. The laws and enforcement change frequently. And while some jurisdictions, like Canada, are legalizing quickly, others are not.
New York for example, appears to be a few votes short of having support for marijuana legalization. New Jerseyâs legalization efforts have also stalled out. As a reminder, those are two of the most liberal states in the country. On the other hand, Illinois just approved legalization, becoming the first state to do so via its legislature as opposed to referendum. That should open a nice big market, in particular selling marijuana to tourists visiting Chicago.
Still, when generally liberal states like New York and New Jersey struggle to approve legalization, it shows that widespread approval in the U.S. is still a long way off. And, letâs not forget, marijuana possession remains a crime on a federal level. Thereâs no sign of that changing anytime soon.
For investors in the marijuana industry, either via ETF or individual companies like Canopy, Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) and Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), itâs important to remember that marijuanaâs legal status is far from clear.
A lot of governments still oppose the movement. This will be a huge problem for the industry. It seems that many folks are building capacity at a rate that assumes pot will be legal in all of North America fairly soon. But if it keeps being a slow state-by-state trickle to legalize, marijuana supply will vastly outstrip demand.
Thereâs also specific risk to Canopy stock here. As I noted in a previous article, Canopy has specific risk related to U.S. federal marijuana legalization. It made a more than $3 billion deal to acquired Acreage Holdings. But the deal will be shelved if the U.S. fails to legalize marijuana federally within a reasonable period of time. Meanwhile, U.S.-based operators will be able to continue expanding freely. That while Acreage is stuck with this weird structure of being controlled but not actually owned by Canopy until the government legalizes marijuana federally (if it ever does).
CGC stock could certainly pop, especially if they produce blowout earnings numbers. But with marijuana stocks continuing to slump, thereâs no rush to buy CGC stock here.
At the time of this writing, Ian Bezek held no positions in any of the aforementioned securities. You can reach him on Twitter at @irbezek.
Compare Brokers
The post Canopy Growth Implicated in Massive Pot Bust and Cover Up appeared first on InvestorPlace.