Cronos Group Inc (NASDAQ: CRON) and several other cannabis stocks have received some love from Wall Street analysts in the past week, but one analyst said Wednesday the 2019 struggles for Tilray Inc (NASDAQ: TLRY) will continue in the near term.
The Analyst
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh initiated coverage of Tilray on Wednesday with a Perform rating and no price target.
The Thesis
Even with Tilray shares down nearly 50 percent year to date, Parikh said it's still hard to justify much upside for the long-term growth stock given its current valuation.
âWe look favorably on Tilrayâs ability to capitalize on the longer term growth opportunities globally, but we believe the combination of a full valuation and the potential for a slower ramp in Canada given supply shortages in an âasset-light modelâ limit the potential for outperformance near term,â Parikh wrote in a note.
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Parikh said Tilray is bulking up its Canadian business by improving its infrastructure and is adding to its CBD business via acquisitions. In the medical business, Tilray has opportunity to expand into new geographical markets, as well as add new partners.
Another long-term differentiator for Tilray is the companyâs top-tier management teams, which Parikh said is one of the best among top cannabis companies. In addition, partnerships with companies like Sandoz, Shoppers Drug Mart, Pharmasave Drugs and Anheuser Busch Inbev NV (NYSE: BUD) bode well for the companyâs long-term positioning in key markets.
Unfortunately, Tilray shares trade at about 6.5 times Oppenheimerâs fiscal 2021 sales forecast and about 45 times the firmâs 2021 EBITDA estimate, a valuation that suggests little near-term upside.
Price Action
Tilray shares traded lower by 2.5 percent to $35.63 on Wednesday.
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Latest Ratings for TLRY
Date | Firm | Action | From | To |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 2019 | Initiates Coverage On | Perform | ||
May 2019 | Upgrades | Underperform | Market Perform | |
May 2019 | Initiates Coverage On | Hold |
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