Wall Street completed its best first quarter in
more than two decades. All the three major stock indexes â- the
Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite â- jumped with double-digit
growth, erasing their losses in the fourth quarter of 2018. Despite
short-term fluctuations in the last week of March, owing to the
partial inversion of government bond yields, the bulls had a smooth
run. Wall Street is still has something to offer irrespective of
the fact that the bull run is in its eleventh year.
Yield Curve Steadied
On Mar 22, the yield on 3-month U.S. Treasury Note surged ahead of
the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury Note for the first time since
2007. Several economists consider this inversion of the 3-month and
10-year bond yields as an indication of an upcoming recession,
resulting in stock market mayhem.
However, on Mar 29, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury Note closed
at 2.414%, higher than the 3-month U.S. Treasury Noteâs yield of
2.408%. With this, the threat of an impending recession in the U.S.
economy disappeared.
Positive Developments on Trade Front
On Mar 29, White House said that the trade-related negotiation
between the United States and China made progress in Beijing.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative
Robert Lighthizer met with Chinaâs Vice Premier Liu He in a âcandid
and constructive discussionsâ last week. The two sides will meet
once again in Washington this week to further advance
negotiations.
On Mar 27, Reuters reported that China has made unprecedented
proposals on a range of issues including the protection of U.S.
intellectual properties to resolve trade disputes. An amicable
solution between two of the worldâs largest trading nations is
likely to boost Wall Street.
Fedâs Dovish Monetary Stance and Benign
Inflation
On Mar 20, after the completion of its two-day policy meeting of
the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank decided not to
hike interest rate in 2019 unless the situation changes
abruptly.
Moreover, benign inflation data is likely to bolster the market
rally. On Mar 29, the Department of Commerce reported that the core
(excluding food and energy components) personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.1% in January, less than the
consensus estimate of an increase of 0.2%. The year-over-year rise
in the PCE pride index was 1.8%, below the 2% target rate of the
Fed.
On Mar 12, the Department of Labor reported that Consumer Price
Index data for the month of February increased 0.2%. Year over
year, the cost of living index has declined to 1.5%, its smallest
since September 2016.
The two inflation indexes are currently below the Fedâs benchmark
2% level despite the fact that wage rate grew by 0.3% in both
January and February.
5 Stocks Moving Higher
The recent concerns about global economic slowdown and temporary
yield curve inversion have not stalled the marketâs growth. We have
been able to narrow down our search on five stocks, which have
moved higher in the first quarter and still have upside left. All
five stocks currently sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and VGM
Score of A. You can see the complete list of todayâs Zacks
#1 Rank stocks here.
Insperity Inc. NSP provides human resources and
business solutions to enhance business performance for small and
medium-sized businesses in the United States. Insperity looks
strong on the back of a booming professional employer organization
industry. The company offers a comprehensive suite of Workforce
Optimization and Workforce Synchronization solutions.
The stock has surged 32.4% year to date. The company has an
expected earnings growth rate of 22.4% for the current year. The
Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year improved 6.5% over
the last 60 days.
Quanta Services Inc. PWR provides specialty
contracting services in the United States, Canada, Australia, Latin
America and internationally. Quanta Services is pursuing a
three-pronged growth strategy focusing on the timely delivery of
projects to exceed customer expectation, leverage on the core
business to expand in complementary adjacent service lines and
continuation of exploring new service lines.
The stock has surged 25.4% year to date. The company has an
expected earnings growth rate of 25.3% for the current year. The
Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 7.3%
over the last 60 days.
Ralph Lauren Corp. RL designs, markets, and
distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia and
internationally. The company is now progressing well with its âNext
Great Chapterâ plan that was announced in June 2018. This strategic
growth plan focuses on delivering sustainable long-term growth and
value creation.
The stock has surged 25.3% year to date. The company has expected
earnings growth rate of 16.8% for the current year. The Zacks
Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 3.7% over the
last 60 days.
Terex Corp. TEX manufactures and sells aerial work
platforms, cranes, and materials processing machinery worldwide.
The company is well placed to benefit from the continued
implementation of Execute to Win initiatives in 2019. Terexâs
Execute to Win strategy is focused on improving capabilities by
investing in people, processes and tools in three priority areas,
comprising commercial excellence, lifecycle solutions and strategic
sourcing.
The stock has surged 16.5% year to date. The company has expected
earnings growth rate of 41.3% for the current year. The Zacks
Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 9.7% over the
last 60 days.
G-III Apparel Group Ltd. GIII) designs, sources,
and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and
internationally. G-III Apparelâs wholesale segment is depicting a
stellar show and driving the companyâs overall performance. Sales
in the category witnessed growth of 13% during the fourth quarter
of 2018, driven by solid performance in DKNY, Tommy Hilfiger and
Calvin Klein brands.
The stock has surged 43.2% year to date. The company has an
expected earnings growth rate of 15.4% for the current year. The
Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 5.1%
over the last 60 days.
Zacks' Top 10 Stocks for 2019
In addition to the stocks discussed above, wouldn't you like to
know about our 10 finest buy-and-holds for the year?
From more than 4,000 companies covered by the Zacks Rank, these 10
were picked by a process that consistently beats the market. Even
during 2018 while the market dropped -5.2%, our Top 10s were up
well into double-digits. And during bullish 2012 â 2017, they
soared far above the market's +126.3%, reaching +181.9%.
This year, the portfolio features a player that thrives on
volatility, an AI comer, and a dynamic tech company that helps
doctors deliver better patient outcomes at lower costs.
See Stocks Today >>
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Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR)
: Free Stock Analysis Report
Terex Corporation (TEX) :
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G-III Apparel Group, LTD.
(GIII) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Ralph Lauren Corporation
(RL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Insperity, Inc. (NSP) :
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